Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.004958 0.005463 0.006008 0.006643 0.007364 0.008160 0.009109
2025-09-21 0.004049 0.004727 0.005515 0.006505 0.007728 0.009202 0.011136
2025-09-28 0.003526 0.004272 0.005181 0.006385 0.007960 0.009981 0.012822
2025-10-05 0.003198 0.003992 0.004996 0.006383 0.008286 0.010861 0.014710
2025-10-12 0.002989 0.003828 0.004925 0.006498 0.008753 0.011956 0.017029
2025-10-19 0.002757 0.003604 0.004744 0.006431 0.008937 0.012652 0.018838
2025-10-26 0.002567 0.003420 0.004594 0.006382 0.009130 0.013364 0.020760
2025-11-02 0.002389 0.003235 0.004425 0.006281 0.009221 0.013915 0.022483
2025-11-09 0.002270 0.003121 0.004346 0.006306 0.009503 0.014796 0.024909
2025-11-16 0.002139 0.002983 0.004218 0.006237 0.009621 0.015407 0.026932
2025-11-23 0.002004 0.002828 0.004053 0.006093 0.009594 0.015756 0.028499
2025-11-30 0.001932 0.002761 0.004018 0.006156 0.009924 0.016778 0.031594
2025-12-07 0.001881 0.002729 0.004039 0.006325 0.010480 0.018337 0.036240
2025-12-14 0.001770 0.002597 0.003894 0.006199 0.010488 0.018847 0.038699
2025-12-21 0.001673 0.002480 0.003764 0.006086 0.010506 0.019376 0.041316
2025-12-28 0.001605 0.002406 0.003699 0.006084 0.010734 0.020371 0.045311
2026-01-04 0.001562 0.002370 0.003697 0.006193 0.011193 0.021929 0.051177
2026-01-11 0.001493 0.002287 0.003606 0.006129 0.011292 0.022696 0.055092
2026-01-18 0.001433 0.002214 0.003529 0.006083 0.011423 0.023554 0.059508
2026-01-25 0.001369 0.002132 0.003430 0.005988 0.011435 0.024131 0.063240
2026-02-01 0.001327 0.002086 0.003394 0.006011 0.011709 0.025395 0.069553
2026-02-08 0.001276 0.002020 0.003316 0.005946 0.011779 0.026149 0.074416
2026-02-15 0.001217 0.001939 0.003208 0.005811 0.011672 0.026427 0.077700